los La Comisión Chilena del Cobre (Cochilco) revisó a la baja la proyección del precio promedio del cobre para lo que resta de 2022 de $4,4 a $4 la libra; mientras que para el año 2023 apoyó la tesis de que el valor promediará los 3,95 dólares.
El director de Estudios y Políticas Públicas de la entidad, Jorge Cantallopts, explicó que el cambio de pronóstico se debe principalmente a que “se espera una mayor oferta de cobre en el mercado por un aumento en la estimación de producción para RD Congo e Indonesia, luego de lo cual la oferta se ajustó al alza de 3,6% a 4,8%; y por una caída en la demanda de cobre de 1,9% anunciada en marzo a 1,2%, por un menor crecimiento del consumo de China”.
“El riesgo de una recesión global no se ha disipado por completo; la velocidad de la recuperación del crecimiento económico de China es incierta”, dijo.
Para Chile, Cochilco espera que este año el Producción de cobre alcanza 5,43 millones de toneladas, una disminución de 3,4% respecto a 2021.
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